OFCS members 92% accurate in Oscar nominee predictions

All through January, the members of the Online Film Critics Society were polled for their best guesses about Oscar nominations in four major categories: Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Director. The nominees were announced this morning. How did the OFCS predictions measure up? Amazingly well. We went 5 for 5 in the Best Actor and Best Director categories, 4 for 5 in Best Actress, and 9 for 10 in Best Picture. Over 25 guesses, we picked accurately 23 times. That’s an accuracy rate of 92 percent.

Take a look:

BEST PICTURE

OFCS predictions:
Avatar
The Blind Side
An Education
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Invictus
Precious
A Serious Man
Up
Up in the Air

Oscar nominees:
Avatar
The Blind Side
District 9
An Education
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Precious
A Serious Man
Up
Up in the Air

How we did: 9 for 10

BEST ACTOR

OFCS predictions:
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker

Oscar nominees:
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker

How we did: 5 for 5

BEST ACTRESS

OFCS predictions:
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabby Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia

Oscar nominees:
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabby Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia

How we did: 4 for 5

BEST DIRECTOR

OFCS predictions:
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Lee Daniels, Precious
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

Oscar nominees:
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Lee Daniels, Precious
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

How we did: 5 for 5